Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 3.659706 4.293465 5.024146 5.933481 7.041170 8.354712 10.042201
2025-01-19 2.655624 3.424785 4.416835 5.808858 7.741799 10.376246 14.317849
2025-01-26 2.308847 3.173750 4.378272 6.217648 9.026949 13.278183 20.443910
2025-02-02 2.034959 2.940161 4.279562 6.469486 10.088069 16.072469 27.269996
2025-02-09 1.843292 2.778853 4.237320 6.769128 11.257905 19.310280 35.935791
2025-02-16 1.653357 2.582509 4.095998 6.861391 12.074225 22.126049 44.830083
2025-02-23 1.505759 2.428053 3.991214 6.984702 12.959102 25.297354 55.711980
2025-03-02 1.354608 2.244002 3.803265 6.912771 13.436770 27.758717 65.992713
2025-03-09 1.255308 2.135296 3.730512 7.043206 14.354490 31.447036 81.076329
2025-03-16 1.145726 1.993176 3.573857 6.973055 14.814495 34.199119 94.942160
2025-03-23 1.056392 1.877150 3.450029 6.947540 15.369052 37.362751 111.766703
2025-03-30 0.973559 1.763512 3.315105 6.872959 15.787593 40.304989 129.586261
2025-04-06 0.908279 1.687705 3.269708 7.050559 17.052221 46.603571 166.086971
2025-04-13 0.819410 1.556043 3.093934 6.903784 17.475055 50.781414 199.073682
2025-04-20 0.791715 1.545185 3.175412 7.404263 19.889788 62.725563 280.342294
2025-04-27 0.752444 1.503886 3.181277 7.713375 21.862244 74.356143 376.708542
2025-05-04 0.720287 1.473317 3.206409 8.081691 24.179872 88.900134 514.891485
2025-05-11 0.676748 1.411299 3.145842 8.195219 25.693226 101.183942 662.187095
2025-05-18 0.639581 1.359097 3.101279 8.347033 27.423540 115.849169 862.490961
2025-05-25 0.594884 1.283710 2.986321 8.258462 28.222425 126.611299 1056.422277
2025-06-01 0.565488 1.241530 2.951840 8.419094 30.107928 144.948791 1388.716473
2025-06-08 0.528793 1.177223 2.848801 8.332690 30.938190 158.058384 1707.667456
2025-06-15 0.497650 1.123331 2.766839 8.301271 32.022391 173.975586 2137.179795